Tools that calculate

Compute a decision quantity — cost, value, exposure, threshold.

41 of 388 tools.

Aggregate risk register copula

Aggregate risk-register occurrence and lognormal severity marginals through a validated Gaussian copula into expected loss, VaR, CVaR, dependence amplification, and tail shares.

Risk, tails & resilience Statistical audit & measurement

Calculate analytics calibration liability

Price the hidden financial liability of stale analytical functions from coherent joint calibration-failure scenarios, decision value at risk, loss fractions and remediation costs; calculate expected loss, VaR, CVaR, reserve breach probability, required reserve and exactly reconciled tail contributions.

Analytics assurance & orchestration Simulation & stress testing

Calculate analytics portfolio realized ROI

Reconcile the analytics portfolio's realized ROI from unique finance-owned incremental benefit sources, causal-evidence weights, non-overlapping function allocations, implementation/recurring/shared costs and coherent joint scenarios, with positive-value probability and CVaR loss gates.

Analytics assurance & orchestration Causal inference & experiment design

Calculate break even delivery date

Find the latest economically supported delivery period across coherent value, remaining-cost, recurring-contribution, operating-cost, value-decay, cost-growth and delay-cost scenarios; enforce expected NPV, positive-NPV probability and CVaR gates while keeping the economic deadline distinct from a completion forecast.

Delivery forecasting & commitments Forecasting & survival

Calculate build buy partner npv

Compare build, buy, and partner lifecycle NPV under coherent joint scenarios, explicit strategic option and switching value, downside CVaR, and governed value gates.

Vendors, sourcing & build-vs-buy Decision analysis

Calculate capital efficiency frontier

Construct a monotone concave capital-to-realized-value envelope, estimate each initiative or portfolio company's relative capital efficiency and value gap, and expose diminishing frontier returns without arbitrary weights.

Finance & unit economics Constrained optimization

Calculate churn prevention break even

Calculate the absolute churn reduction an intervention must cause to break even, then test aligned baseline/treated scenarios against probability-of-positive-value and portfolio CVaR gates.

Customer, revenue & pricing Constrained optimization

Calculate customer concentration technology risk

Quantify the joint tail risk created when customer contribution is concentrated on shared technology, using coherent failure scenarios, non-additive dependency losses, CVaR, and overlapping component sensitivities.

Finance & unit economics Decision analysis

Calculate decision debt liability

Price unresolved management decision debt from coherent joint scenarios for accumulated delay, value at risk, rework, staleness and resolution cost; calculate expected liability, reserve breach, confidence reserve, CVaR and exactly reconciled decision tail contributions.

Org design, incentives & decisions Simulation & stress testing

Calculate earned value forecast

Turn period-level planned value, accepted earned value, and actual cost into a correlated Bayesian CPI/SPI distribution for final cost, completion period, budget overrun, and deadline miss, with classical EAC cross-checks and an early-progress abstention gate.

Delivery forecasting & commitments Sequential Bayesian & bandits

Calculate engineering runway

Compare three-point roadmap effort with three-point team capacity and expose unfunded commitments.

Capacity, staffing & flow Decision analysis

Calculate engineering unit economics

Calculate uncertainty-aware engineering cost and net incremental contribution per adopted business outcome across aligned scenarios, including quality/run cost and downside-margin probability.

Finance & unit economics Decision analysis

Calculate execution value leakage

Translate incomplete scope, delay-driven value decay, rework and approved-exception costs into coherent expected, reserve-quantile and tail-CVaR execution leakage, with exact decision-level reconciliation to net realized value.

Delivery forecasting & commitments Decision analysis

Calculate feature cost to serve

Calculate fully loaded feature cost and CVaR cost per verified adopted account across aligned build-amortization, run, support, usage, and adoption scenarios.

Finance & unit economics Decision analysis

Calculate financial value of modularity

Value modular architecture as a portfolio of exercisable future-change options, comparing architecture-specific cost, lead time, throughput capacity, discounting, value decay, downside CVaR, and the break-even modular investment.

Risk, tails & resilience Constrained optimization

Calculate financing exit waterfall

Calculate a financing exit waterfall across coherent outcomes with debt and transaction costs, preferred seniority, equal-rank pro-rata shortfall, liquidation preferences, participating residual, iterative participation caps and endogenous class-by-class conversion; require a pure no-profitable-deviation conversion equilibrium, exact payout reconciliation and verified security/scenario evidence before reporting stakeholder payout, MOIC, annualized return and downside.

Investment & portfolio choice Statistical audit & measurement

Calculate hidden work tax

Translate unplanned work, rework, incidents, and coordination into capacity and cost leakage.

Capacity, staffing & flow Decision analysis

Calculate human AI decision system value

Calculate the complete economic value of a prospectively validated human-AI decision system from coherent volume and loss scenarios after implementation, AI operation, human review and decision-delay costs, with positive-value probability, return-on-cost and CVaR downside.

AI cost, routing & return Statistical audit & measurement

Calculate incremental cost effectiveness ratio

Construct a probabilistic incremental cost-effectiveness frontier from jointly aligned cost and outcome scenarios; remove strict and extended dominance before calculating ICERs, and select by expected net benefit plus a cost-effectiveness acceptability curve at organization-owned willingness-to-pay thresholds.

Delivery forecasting & commitments Statistical audit & measurement

Calculate opportunity cost of WIP

Quantify the expected value-delay cost of the current WIP completion pattern against the Smith-rule focus sequence, including scenario probability and tail disadvantage.

Delivery forecasting & commitments Forecasting & survival

Calculate procurement negotiation range

Calculate an uncertainty-aware procurement bargaining zone from independently governed buyer and supplier BATNA economics; protect both reservation prices at explicit confidence levels, derive a bargaining-weight target, quantify ZOPA probability and tail overpayment, and abstain when evidence cannot support an overlap.

Customer, revenue & pricing Decision analysis

Calculate recommendation conflict exposure

Price the expected, reserve-quantile and tail-CVaR regret of a current action when locally calibrated analytical recommendations conflict, using coherent action-loss scenarios and provenance-adjusted support that cannot be inflated by duplicate source lineage.

Analytics assurance & orchestration Decision analysis

Calculate risk adjusted npv

Discount aligned scenario cash-flow paths, expose positive-NPV probability and loss VaR/CVaR, then apply an explicit finance-owned CVaR penalty to test a risk-adjusted investment hurdle.

Investment & portfolio choice Decision analysis

Calculate shadow price of capacity

Calculate lumpy, discrete capacity shadow prices by re-optimizing a scenario-valued initiative portfolio after a governed increment to each resource, with CVaR penalty and explicit exact or heuristic solver status.

Capacity, staffing & flow Constrained optimization

Calculate shared assumption risk exposure

Price coherent portfolio value loss when necessary assumptions interact multiplicatively and recur across initiatives; size reserve, breach probability and CVaR, then use exact continuous-integral Shapley attribution to reconcile nonlinear expected and tail loss to the premises creating hidden concentration.

Analytics assurance & orchestration Constrained optimization

Calculate strategy to cash conversion

Reconcile approved strategy value sequentially through implementation, adoption, outcome, monetization and collection under coherent scenarios, producing mutually exclusive stage leakage, gross and net cash conversion, reserve need, breach probability, CVaR and exact initiative tail contributions.

Investment & portfolio choice Decision analysis

Calculate technology economic capital

Calculate expected loss, loss VaR/CVaR, unexpected-loss economic capital, capital charge and technology RAROC under coherent finance-owned scenarios; count shared platform/provider loss once and reconcile it to aggregate units with exact or seeded-permutation Shapley allocation.

Risk, tails & resilience Decision analysis

Calculate technology plan financeability

Calculate whether a technology plan remains liquid and net-leverage compliant across coherent multi-period cash, debt, investment, financing and EBITDA scenarios; derive the exact minimum period-zero unrestricted capital per path, confidence reserve, breach trajectory and CVaR residual funding shortfall.

Finance & unit economics Decision analysis

Calculate technology risk capacity and headroom

Translate technology loss into board-level risk capacity by jointly stressing liquidity, earnings, covenant and capital absorption; report expected loss, exact probability-mass VaR/CVaR, unexpected-loss capital, appetite headroom, binding constraints and the maximum supported loss multiplier before the approved breach probability fails.

Risk, tails & resilience Decision analysis

Calculate value of delay to decide

Calculate a period-by-period value-of-delay curve that separates prospectively available information from waiting cost and changing action economics under coherent scenarios.

Delivery forecasting & commitments Decision analysis

Calculate value of independent analytics challenge

Calculate the economic value of an independent analytical challenge from coherent incumbent and challenged loss scenarios after complete challenge and decision-delay costs, with probability-of-positive-value and CVaR downside gates.

Analytics assurance & orchestration Decision analysis

Calculate value of management flexibility

Price only executable management flexibility on one coherent scenario set: compare a frozen static plan, a nonanticipative adaptive policy and a perfect-information upper bound; separate expected flexibility from remaining information value, tail underperformance and tail regret; quantify liquidity-risk reduction; and refuse value when policy integrity, evidence or dominance fails.

Risk, tails & resilience Constrained optimization

Calculate venture milestone efficiency

Compare evidence-adjusted milestone progress and scenario value uplift per cash consumed, preserving efficiency, value, and downside as a Pareto frontier instead of one opaque portfolio-company score.

Investment & portfolio choice Constrained optimization

Compute robust operating viability kernel

Compute the maximal robust controlled-invariant set of safe operating states under complete set-valued state-action transitions, identify every feedback action that keeps all modeled successors viable indefinitely, and expose finite guaranteed-survival layers for states outside the kernel without using probabilities or rewards.

Measurement integrity Forecasting & survival

Score evidence readiness

Gate an analytical claim on coverage, freshness, identity resolution, sample size, and source agreement.

Measurement integrity Statistical audit & measurement

Score investor execution vitals

Give startup investors an evidence-shrunk execution signal spanning milestones, runway, reliability, and resilience.

Investment & portfolio choice Forecasting & survival

Value AI assistant rollout ROI

Value an aggregate AI-assistant rollout from aligned joint causal-effect draws, preserving delivery/time/defect/incident dependence while enforcing identification, out-of-time, overlap, metric-integrity, effective-sample, quality-harm, NPV, ROI, and payback gates.

Analytics assurance & orchestration Causal inference & experiment design

Value architecture migration option

Value an irreversible architecture migration as a finite-horizon, signal-contingent optimal-stopping policy that cannot see future information; compare its expected and tail cost with never migrating, every fixed migration date, and a perfect-information ceiling, then expose the option value of waiting for real evidence.

Vendors, sourcing & build-vs-buy Constrained optimization

Value dependency unblocking

Value shortening one blocker by propagating aligned duration scenarios through a dependency DAG, repricing earlier completion under task-specific value decay, and mixing unblock success or failure after cost.

Capacity, staffing & flow Forecasting & survival

Value next round option

Value raising now versus delaying for a milestone by simulating posterior milestone success, bridge-capacity failure, conditional future dilution, terminal stakeholder value, and lower-tail delay loss.

Investment & portfolio choice Sequential Bayesian & bandits

Value of information

Calculate how much it is worth paying for more information before making an engineering decision.

Measurement integrity Decision analysis

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