Calculate human AI decision system value
Calculate the complete economic value of a prospectively validated human-AI decision system from coherent volume and loss scenarios after implementation, AI operation, human review and decision-delay costs, with positive-value probability, return-on-cost and CVaR downside.
What it's for
Shows CEOs, CTOs and investors whether a human–AI operating model pays after the costs most AI business cases omit: expert review, delay, implementation, operation and downside.
What you give it
Inputs split into evidence read from your connected systems, calibration your team owns, and numerical controls that affect precision but never the result's meaning.
| Field | Type | Role | Required |
|---|---|---|---|
| max_detail_rows | integer ≥ 1, ≤ 500 | Numerical control | Optional |
| maximum_cvar_downside | number ≥ 0 | Your calibration | Optional |
| minimum_expected_net_value | number | Your calibration | Optional |
| minimum_probability_positive_net_value | number ≥ 0, ≤ 1 | Your calibration | Optional |
| scenarios | array of objects (2 fields) | Evidence | Yes |
| systems | array of objects (10 fields) ≥ 1 item | Evidence | Yes |
| tail_probability | number > 0, ≤ 0.5 | Your calibration | Optional |
Each systems
record
| Field | Type | Required |
|---|---|---|
| ai_operating_cost_scenarios | array of number (≥ 2 items) | Yes |
| baseline_loss_per_decision_scenarios | array of number (≥ 2 items) | Yes |
| combined_loss_per_decision_scenarios | array of number (≥ 2 items) | Yes |
| complementarity_supported | boolean | Yes |
| decision_volume_scenarios | array of number (≥ 2 items) | Yes |
| delay_cost_per_decision_scenarios | array of number (≥ 2 items) | Yes |
| fixed_cost_scenarios | array of number (≥ 2 items) | Yes |
| id | string (non-empty) | Yes |
| review_cost_per_hour_scenarios | array of number (≥ 2 items) | Yes |
| review_hours_per_decision_scenarios | array of number (≥ 2 items) | Yes |
{
"scenarios": [
{
"id": "base",
"probability": 0.5
},
{
"id": "growth",
"probability": 0.3
},
{
"id": "stress",
"probability": 0.2
}
],
"systems": [
{
"ai_operating_cost_scenarios": [
30,
30,
30
],
"baseline_loss_per_decision_scenarios": [
10,
10,
10
],
"combined_loss_per_decision_scenarios": [
4,
4,
4
],
"complementarity_supported": true,
"decision_volume_scenarios": [
100,
100,
100
],
"delay_cost_per_decision_scenarios": [
0.5,
0.5,
0.5
],
"fixed_cost_scenarios": [ Truncated for display — the full payload is 63 lines.
What you get back
This is the actual output of running the example above — computed by the same function the platform calls, not an illustration.
{
"configuration": {
"maximum_cvar_downside": null,
"minimum_expected_net_value": 0,
"minimum_probability_positive_net_value": 0.7,
"tail_probability": 0.2
},
"decision": "valuable_human_ai_systems_available",
"guardrails": [
"Only systems that passed a version-matched prospective complementarity audit are economically eligible; a cheaper system that lacks complementarity evidence is not promoted.",
"All loss, cost and volume arrays must preserve coherent joint scenarios on one currency and horizon basis. Complete cost includes implementation, AI operation, human review and decision delay.",
"Scenario value is not a causal estimate unless the baseline-to-combined loss contrast is prospectively identified. ROI never authorizes automated decisions or removal of required human accountability."
],
"method": "coherent_scenario_human_ai_decision_system_value_v1",
"summary": {
"best_expected_net_value": 400,
"best_system_id": "delivery-risk-triage",
"system_count": 1,
"valuable_system_count": 1
},
"system_diagnostics": [
{
"complementarity_supported": true,
"decision": "human_ai_system_value_supported",
"expected_gross_avoided_decision_loss": 600,
"expected_human_review_cost": 100,
"expected_net_value": 400,
"expected_return_on_cost": 2,
"expected_total_cost": 200,
"failed_gates": [],
"probability_positive_net_value": 1,
"system_id": "delivery-risk-triage",
"tail_cvar_downside": 0
}
],
"truncation": {
"systems_omitted": 0
}
} How it works
Statistical audit & measurement — Check whether a number is fit to decide on: coverage, timing, reconciliation, and the gaps a dashboard hides.
- 1 Admit only a version-matched system whose prospective complementarity audit cleared; align decision volume, standalone-baseline loss and combined-policy loss in coherent finance-owned scenarios.
- 2 Within every scenario calculate gross avoided decision loss, human review cost, implementation and AI operating cost, delay cost, total cost and net value without mixing marginal futures.
- 3 Aggregate expected value, return on cost, probability of positive value and downside CVaR; recommend only when complementarity, expected-value, probability and optional tail gates all clear.
Before you trust it
Every tool in the catalog ships with the conditions under which its answer is meaningful — and the conditions under which it should abstain instead of guessing.
Assumptions & guardrails
- Metric definitions, weights, aggregate grain, sampling, missingness, dependence, and comparison windows correspond to the management claim being audited.
- Complementarity evidence matches the represented version/cohort; scenario columns preserve joint volume, loss and cost uncertainty; loss contrast is prospective or causally identified; currency, horizon, price basis and complete cost perimeter align.
- Association, instability, or measurement quality is not a causal effect and must not be converted directly into an individual employment decision.
- Positive scenario value is not causal proof unless the baseline contrast is identified. ROI never converts decision-system economics into worker productivity rankings, required automation or removal of accountable human ownership.
Minimum evidence
- systems: at least 1 rows/items
- scenarios: required and organization-defined
How to validate it
Backtest the chosen action against simple feasible baselines on held-out scenarios, sweep costs/constraints/risk tolerance, and require constraint feasibility under adverse inputs.
Calibrating it to your org
Same for everyone
The mathematical kernel, validation rules, method version, and JSON output semantics are organization-independent; no tenant-trained coefficients or company benchmark is embedded in the function.
Specific to you
- finance-reconciled human-AI system business case joining a version-matched prospective complementarity audit to identified loss contrasts, workforce review effort, service delay, complete technology cost and coherent joint uncertainty
- complementarity evidence/version, decision perimeter, scenario law, loss/currency/horizon/price basis, volume, implementation/operation/review/delay cost, positive-value gate, CVaR appetite and investment authority
Calibration workflow
- 1 Define the management decision, target outcome, aggregate unit, privacy boundary, cadence, and prediction/intervention horizon for this organization.
- 2 Build a tenant-scoped historical cohort using only information available before each prediction or decision; preserve zero periods, censoring, assignment probabilities, and unresolved outcomes when the method requires them.
- 3 Estimate statistical parameters on training history, but obtain costs, utilities, risk tolerance, practical-effect thresholds, capacity, and policy constraints from accountable decision owners.
- 4 Validate on later time windows or held-out aggregate units at the deployment grain, against a simple baseline and the function-specific validation strategy.
- 5 Deploy only if the returned decision clears evidence, overlap, calibration, robustness, and guardrail checks; warning, unsupported, schema-gap, and fallback decisions are abstentions.
- 6 Monitor realized outcomes, data drift, coverage, and decision regret; recalibrate at a governed cadence or after a detected regime/definition change, never merely because a stakeholder dislikes the result.
Call it from your AI
You don't wire up 388 tools in your MCP client. The GitRevio MCP server exposes 18 tools, three of which let an agent search the catalog, read a tool's schema, and run it — so the assistant finds this one on its own.
gitrevio_capabilities_search
{ "q": "calculate the complete economic value of" }
→ finds "calculate_human_ai_decision_system_value"
gitrevio_capability_describe
{ "capability_id": "calculate_human_ai_decision_system_value" }
→ returns the input schema and agent guidance shown on this page
gitrevio_capability_run
{ "capability_id": "calculate_human_ai_decision_system_value", "arguments": { ... } }
→ returns the result shown above Works in Claude Desktop, Claude Code, Cursor, Cline, Continue.dev, Goose and Aider. See the MCP server.
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