Calculate human AI decision system value

Calculate the complete economic value of a prospectively validated human-AI decision system from coherent volume and loss scenarios after implementation, AI operation, human review and decision-delay costs, with positive-value probability, return-on-cost and CVaR downside.

What it's for

Shows CEOs, CTOs and investors whether a human–AI operating model pays after the costs most AI business cases omit: expert review, delay, implementation, operation and downside.

What you give it

Inputs split into evidence read from your connected systems, calibration your team owns, and numerical controls that affect precision but never the result's meaning.

Field Type Role Required
max_detail_rows integer ≥ 1, ≤ 500 Numerical control Optional
maximum_cvar_downside number ≥ 0 Your calibration Optional
minimum_expected_net_value number Your calibration Optional
minimum_probability_positive_net_value number ≥ 0, ≤ 1 Your calibration Optional
scenarios array of objects (2 fields) Evidence Yes
systems array of objects (10 fields) ≥ 1 item Evidence Yes
tail_probability number > 0, ≤ 0.5 Your calibration Optional

Each systems record

Field Type Required
ai_operating_cost_scenarios array of number (≥ 2 items) Yes
baseline_loss_per_decision_scenarios array of number (≥ 2 items) Yes
combined_loss_per_decision_scenarios array of number (≥ 2 items) Yes
complementarity_supported boolean Yes
decision_volume_scenarios array of number (≥ 2 items) Yes
delay_cost_per_decision_scenarios array of number (≥ 2 items) Yes
fixed_cost_scenarios array of number (≥ 2 items) Yes
id string (non-empty) Yes
review_cost_per_hour_scenarios array of number (≥ 2 items) Yes
review_hours_per_decision_scenarios array of number (≥ 2 items) Yes
Example input
{
  "scenarios": [
    {
      "id": "base",
      "probability": 0.5
    },
    {
      "id": "growth",
      "probability": 0.3
    },
    {
      "id": "stress",
      "probability": 0.2
    }
  ],
  "systems": [
    {
      "ai_operating_cost_scenarios": [
        30,
        30,
        30
      ],
      "baseline_loss_per_decision_scenarios": [
        10,
        10,
        10
      ],
      "combined_loss_per_decision_scenarios": [
        4,
        4,
        4
      ],
      "complementarity_supported": true,
      "decision_volume_scenarios": [
        100,
        100,
        100
      ],
      "delay_cost_per_decision_scenarios": [
        0.5,
        0.5,
        0.5
      ],
      "fixed_cost_scenarios": [

Truncated for display — the full payload is 63 lines.

What you get back

This is the actual output of running the example above — computed by the same function the platform calls, not an illustration.

Example output
{
  "configuration": {
    "maximum_cvar_downside": null,
    "minimum_expected_net_value": 0,
    "minimum_probability_positive_net_value": 0.7,
    "tail_probability": 0.2
  },
  "decision": "valuable_human_ai_systems_available",
  "guardrails": [
    "Only systems that passed a version-matched prospective complementarity audit are economically eligible; a cheaper system that lacks complementarity evidence is not promoted.",
    "All loss, cost and volume arrays must preserve coherent joint scenarios on one currency and horizon basis. Complete cost includes implementation, AI operation, human review and decision delay.",
    "Scenario value is not a causal estimate unless the baseline-to-combined loss contrast is prospectively identified. ROI never authorizes automated decisions or removal of required human accountability."
  ],
  "method": "coherent_scenario_human_ai_decision_system_value_v1",
  "summary": {
    "best_expected_net_value": 400,
    "best_system_id": "delivery-risk-triage",
    "system_count": 1,
    "valuable_system_count": 1
  },
  "system_diagnostics": [
    {
      "complementarity_supported": true,
      "decision": "human_ai_system_value_supported",
      "expected_gross_avoided_decision_loss": 600,
      "expected_human_review_cost": 100,
      "expected_net_value": 400,
      "expected_return_on_cost": 2,
      "expected_total_cost": 200,
      "failed_gates": [],
      "probability_positive_net_value": 1,
      "system_id": "delivery-risk-triage",
      "tail_cvar_downside": 0
    }
  ],
  "truncation": {
    "systems_omitted": 0
  }
}

How it works

Statistical audit & measurement — Check whether a number is fit to decide on: coverage, timing, reconciliation, and the gaps a dashboard hides.

  1. 1 Admit only a version-matched system whose prospective complementarity audit cleared; align decision volume, standalone-baseline loss and combined-policy loss in coherent finance-owned scenarios.
  2. 2 Within every scenario calculate gross avoided decision loss, human review cost, implementation and AI operating cost, delay cost, total cost and net value without mixing marginal futures.
  3. 3 Aggregate expected value, return on cost, probability of positive value and downside CVaR; recommend only when complementarity, expected-value, probability and optional tail gates all clear.

Before you trust it

Every tool in the catalog ships with the conditions under which its answer is meaningful — and the conditions under which it should abstain instead of guessing.

Assumptions & guardrails

  • Metric definitions, weights, aggregate grain, sampling, missingness, dependence, and comparison windows correspond to the management claim being audited.
  • Complementarity evidence matches the represented version/cohort; scenario columns preserve joint volume, loss and cost uncertainty; loss contrast is prospective or causally identified; currency, horizon, price basis and complete cost perimeter align.
  • Association, instability, or measurement quality is not a causal effect and must not be converted directly into an individual employment decision.
  • Positive scenario value is not causal proof unless the baseline contrast is identified. ROI never converts decision-system economics into worker productivity rankings, required automation or removal of accountable human ownership.

Minimum evidence

  • systems: at least 1 rows/items
  • scenarios: required and organization-defined

How to validate it

Backtest the chosen action against simple feasible baselines on held-out scenarios, sweep costs/constraints/risk tolerance, and require constraint feasibility under adverse inputs.

Calibrating it to your org

Same for everyone

The mathematical kernel, validation rules, method version, and JSON output semantics are organization-independent; no tenant-trained coefficients or company benchmark is embedded in the function.

Specific to you

  • finance-reconciled human-AI system business case joining a version-matched prospective complementarity audit to identified loss contrasts, workforce review effort, service delay, complete technology cost and coherent joint uncertainty
  • complementarity evidence/version, decision perimeter, scenario law, loss/currency/horizon/price basis, volume, implementation/operation/review/delay cost, positive-value gate, CVaR appetite and investment authority

Calibration workflow

  1. 1 Define the management decision, target outcome, aggregate unit, privacy boundary, cadence, and prediction/intervention horizon for this organization.
  2. 2 Build a tenant-scoped historical cohort using only information available before each prediction or decision; preserve zero periods, censoring, assignment probabilities, and unresolved outcomes when the method requires them.
  3. 3 Estimate statistical parameters on training history, but obtain costs, utilities, risk tolerance, practical-effect thresholds, capacity, and policy constraints from accountable decision owners.
  4. 4 Validate on later time windows or held-out aggregate units at the deployment grain, against a simple baseline and the function-specific validation strategy.
  5. 5 Deploy only if the returned decision clears evidence, overlap, calibration, robustness, and guardrail checks; warning, unsupported, schema-gap, and fallback decisions are abstentions.
  6. 6 Monitor realized outcomes, data drift, coverage, and decision regret; recalibrate at a governed cadence or after a detected regime/definition change, never merely because a stakeholder dislikes the result.

Call it from your AI

You don't wire up 388 tools in your MCP client. The GitRevio MCP server exposes 18 tools, three of which let an agent search the catalog, read a tool's schema, and run it — so the assistant finds this one on its own.

gitrevio_capabilities_search
  { "q": "calculate the complete economic value of" }
  → finds "calculate_human_ai_decision_system_value"

gitrevio_capability_describe
  { "capability_id": "calculate_human_ai_decision_system_value" }
  → returns the input schema and agent guidance shown on this page

gitrevio_capability_run
  { "capability_id": "calculate_human_ai_decision_system_value", "arguments": { ... } }
  → returns the result shown above

Works in Claude Desktop, Claude Code, Cursor, Cline, Continue.dev, Goose and Aider. See the MCP server.

Related tools

Audit human AI decision complementarity

Audit whether a governed human-AI decision process reduces prospective loss below the better standalone human or AI policy using paired shadow decisions, cluster bootstrap uncertainty, disagreement support and simultaneous gates across all screened systems.

Constrained optimization

Optimize selective human AI review policy

Choose one eligible automation or human-review policy per decision segment using a coherent-scenario multi-choice stochastic program over residual loss, complete cost and review hours; enforce complementarity evidence, scenario capacity-breach probability and residual-loss CVaR with exact enumeration or disclosed beam search.

Constrained optimization

Audit AI capability fallback integrity

Prove that every aggregate capability required when AI is unavailable has a current approved runbook and a sufficiently large, timely, successful, independently observed exercise conducted with AI actually disabled.

Statistical audit & measurement

Audit AI code change evidence integrity

Prove that aggregate AI-assisted coding evidence comes from prospectively registered, nonoverlapping treatment/control studies with immutable assignment, configuration, trace and mature-outcome denominators before anyone estimates an effect.

Causal inference & experiment design

Audit AI inference cost allocation integrity

Reconcile provider AI invoices bottom-up to workload and route usage, price terms, cached requests, retries, fixed charges and credits without combining currencies or silently allocating unexplained spend.

Statistical audit & measurement

Audit AI knowledge grounding integrity

Audit the complete AI knowledge supply chain from immutable source versions through indexed chunks and effective access policy to retrieved evidence, claim-level citations and honestly mature grounding outcomes, without treating unresolved answers as failures.

Constrained optimization

See every tool in AI cost, routing & return →

Ready to See Your Engineering work clearly?

Request a free demo