Score investor execution vitals

Give startup investors an evidence-shrunk execution signal spanning milestones, runway, reliability, and resilience.

What it's for

An execution signal for investors spanning milestones, runway, reliability and resilience, shrunk toward the base rate where a portfolio company's evidence is thin.

Introduces an investor-facing portfolio-monitoring wedge not present on the current site.

What you give it

Inputs split into evidence read from your connected systems, calibration your team owns, and numerical controls that affect precision but never the result's meaning.

Field Type Role Required
evidence_readiness number ≥ 0, ≤ 1 Your calibration Yes
knowledge_resilience number ≥ 0, ≤ 1 Your calibration Yes
milestones array of objects (2 fields) Evidence Yes
months_to_next_value number > 0 Your calibration Yes
reliability number ≥ 0, ≤ 1 Your calibration Yes
runway_months number ≥ 0 Your calibration Yes

Each milestones record

Field Type Required
outcome number (≥ 0, ≤ 1) Yes
strategic_weight number (> 0) Optional
Example input
{
  "evidence_readiness": 0.84,
  "knowledge_resilience": 0.72,
  "milestones": [
    {
      "outcome": 1,
      "strategic_weight": 2
    },
    {
      "outcome": 0.6,
      "strategic_weight": 1
    }
  ],
  "months_to_next_value": 7,
  "reliability": 0.82,
  "runway_months": 14
}

What you get back

This is the actual output of running the example above — computed by the same function the platform calls, not an illustration.

Example output
{
  "band": "strong",
  "components": {
    "capital_coverage": 1,
    "delivery_reliability": 0.6571,
    "evidence_readiness": 0.84,
    "operational_resilience": 0.7684
  },
  "flags": [],
  "interpretation": "A portfolio-monitoring signal for diligence and follow-up, not a valuation or prediction of company success.",
  "method": "investor_execution_vitals_v1",
  "observed_milestone_weight": 3,
  "runway_to_value_ratio": 2,
  "score": 74.9
}

How it works

Forecasting & survival — Estimate when something completes or fails, with censoring and unresolved work handled honestly rather than dropped.

  1. 1 Give startup investors an evidence-shrunk execution signal spanning milestones, runway, reliability, and resilience.
  2. 2 Evaluate the method-specific diagnostics and gates returned by the function, then abstain unless the declared decision clears them under locally governed thresholds.

Before you trust it

Every tool in the catalog ships with the conditions under which its answer is meaningful — and the conditions under which it should abstain instead of guessing.

Assumptions & guardrails

  • Training examples precede their outcomes, censoring and unresolved work are represented, and deployment populations remain comparable to validation cohorts.
  • A predictive interval or risk estimate is not a deadline promise, causal explanation, or individual-performance judgment.

Minimum evidence

  • milestones: required and organization-defined
  • runway_months: required and organization-defined
  • months_to_next_value: required and organization-defined
  • reliability: required and organization-defined
  • knowledge_resilience: required and organization-defined
  • evidence_readiness: required and organization-defined

How to validate it

Validate on future periods or held-out aggregate units, compare with a simple baseline, and require stability across plausible metric definitions and decision thresholds.

Calibrating it to your org

Same for everyone

The mathematical kernel, validation rules, method version, and JSON output semantics are organization-independent; no tenant-trained coefficients or company benchmark is embedded in the function.

Specific to you

  • metric/outcome definitions, entity grain, observation window, costs, thresholds, priors, and constraints represented by the function inputs

Calibration workflow

  1. 1 Define the management decision, target outcome, aggregate unit, privacy boundary, cadence, and prediction/intervention horizon for this organization.
  2. 2 Build a tenant-scoped historical cohort using only information available before each prediction or decision; preserve zero periods, censoring, assignment probabilities, and unresolved outcomes when the method requires them.
  3. 3 Estimate statistical parameters on training history, but obtain costs, utilities, risk tolerance, practical-effect thresholds, capacity, and policy constraints from accountable decision owners.
  4. 4 Validate on later time windows or held-out aggregate units at the deployment grain, against a simple baseline and the function-specific validation strategy.
  5. 5 Deploy only if the returned decision clears evidence, overlap, calibration, robustness, and guardrail checks; warning, unsupported, schema-gap, and fallback decisions are abstentions.
  6. 6 Monitor realized outcomes, data drift, coverage, and decision regret; recalibrate at a governed cadence or after a detected regime/definition change, never merely because a stakeholder dislikes the result.

Call it from your AI

You don't wire up 388 tools in your MCP client. The GitRevio MCP server exposes 18 tools, three of which let an agent search the catalog, read a tool's schema, and run it — so the assistant finds this one on its own.

gitrevio_capabilities_search
  { "q": "give startup investors an evidenceshrunk execution" }
  → finds "score_investor_execution_vitals"

gitrevio_capability_describe
  { "capability_id": "score_investor_execution_vitals" }
  → returns the input schema and agent guidance shown on this page

gitrevio_capability_run
  { "capability_id": "score_investor_execution_vitals", "arguments": { ... } }
  → returns the result shown above

Works in Claude Desktop, Claude Code, Cursor, Cline, Continue.dev, Goose and Aider. See the MCP server.

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