Decision analysis
Turn uncertainty, cost and risk appetite into a defensible choice, with the reasoning left inspectable.
30 of 388 tools.
Analyze coordination entropy
Quantify privacy-safe cross-team seam complexity, concentration, latency, and failure load.
Analyze deep uncertainty minimax regret
Apply Savage minimax regret when scenario probabilities are not defensible, compare maximin and equal-weight choices, and use PRIM-style iterative peeling to discover compact context boxes where the robust choice remains vulnerable.
Analyze delayed management feedback stability
Stress the dynamic stability of a delayed signed organizational feedback model: build a VAR companion matrix from interval-valued lagged influences, evaluate midpoint, interval corners, and sampled simultaneous coefficients, calculate spectral and transient amplification margins, and rank one-edge damping leverage without claiming an exhaustive robust-control certificate.
Analyze info gap robust satisficing
Select a robust-satisficing action under severe uncertainty with Info-Gap Decision Theory: evaluate worst and best payoff across a governed nested uncertainty envelope, maximize the radius before a critical requirement fails, report windfall opportuneness, and use no scenario probabilities.
Build reverse stress scenarios
Solve the minimum standardized bounded combination of adverse driver shocks needed to breach a governed operating or financial threshold, with driver contributions, binding bounds, and single-driver break points.
Calculate build buy partner npv
Compare build, buy, and partner lifecycle NPV under coherent joint scenarios, explicit strategic option and switching value, downside CVaR, and governed value gates.
Calculate customer concentration technology risk
Quantify the joint tail risk created when customer contribution is concentrated on shared technology, using coherent failure scenarios, non-additive dependency losses, CVaR, and overlapping component sensitivities.
Calculate engineering runway
Compare three-point roadmap effort with three-point team capacity and expose unfunded commitments.
Calculate engineering unit economics
Calculate uncertainty-aware engineering cost and net incremental contribution per adopted business outcome across aligned scenarios, including quality/run cost and downside-margin probability.
Calculate execution value leakage
Translate incomplete scope, delay-driven value decay, rework and approved-exception costs into coherent expected, reserve-quantile and tail-CVaR execution leakage, with exact decision-level reconciliation to net realized value.
Calculate feature cost to serve
Calculate fully loaded feature cost and CVaR cost per verified adopted account across aligned build-amortization, run, support, usage, and adoption scenarios.
Calculate hidden work tax
Translate unplanned work, rework, incidents, and coordination into capacity and cost leakage.
Calculate procurement negotiation range
Calculate an uncertainty-aware procurement bargaining zone from independently governed buyer and supplier BATNA economics; protect both reservation prices at explicit confidence levels, derive a bargaining-weight target, quantify ZOPA probability and tail overpayment, and abstain when evidence cannot support an overlap.
Calculate recommendation conflict exposure
Price the expected, reserve-quantile and tail-CVaR regret of a current action when locally calibrated analytical recommendations conflict, using coherent action-loss scenarios and provenance-adjusted support that cannot be inflated by duplicate source lineage.
Calculate risk adjusted npv
Discount aligned scenario cash-flow paths, expose positive-NPV probability and loss VaR/CVaR, then apply an explicit finance-owned CVaR penalty to test a risk-adjusted investment hurdle.
Calculate strategy to cash conversion
Reconcile approved strategy value sequentially through implementation, adoption, outcome, monetization and collection under coherent scenarios, producing mutually exclusive stage leakage, gross and net cash conversion, reserve need, breach probability, CVaR and exact initiative tail contributions.
Calculate technology economic capital
Calculate expected loss, loss VaR/CVaR, unexpected-loss economic capital, capital charge and technology RAROC under coherent finance-owned scenarios; count shared platform/provider loss once and reconcile it to aggregate units with exact or seeded-permutation Shapley allocation.
Calculate technology plan financeability
Calculate whether a technology plan remains liquid and net-leverage compliant across coherent multi-period cash, debt, investment, financing and EBITDA scenarios; derive the exact minimum period-zero unrestricted capital per path, confidence reserve, breach trajectory and CVaR residual funding shortfall.
Calculate technology risk capacity and headroom
Translate technology loss into board-level risk capacity by jointly stressing liquidity, earnings, covenant and capital absorption; report expected loss, exact probability-mass VaR/CVaR, unexpected-loss capital, appetite headroom, binding constraints and the maximum supported loss multiplier before the approved breach probability fails.
Calculate value of delay to decide
Calculate a period-by-period value-of-delay curve that separates prospectively available information from waiting cost and changing action economics under coherent scenarios.
Calculate value of independent analytics challenge
Calculate the economic value of an independent analytical challenge from coherent incumbent and challenged loss scenarios after complete challenge and decision-delay costs, with probability-of-positive-value and CVaR downside gates.
Construct quality speed cost pareto surface
Construct a stochastic three-dimensional quality, delivery-time, and cost Pareto surface with practical dominance, membership probability, and a transparent maximin navigator.
Control online alert false discoveries
Control false discoveries across a prespecified live hypothesis stream with LORD++ and an infinite geometric alpha-spending sequence.
Detect operational critical slowing down
Detect early-warning patterns associated with an aggregate system losing resilience before a possible regime transition: locally detrend rolling windows, track rising lag-one autocorrelation, variance, and spectral reddening, compare endpoint shifts with a frozen reference regime, and control multiplicity under a circular moving-block bootstrap.
Discover environment invariant predictive model
Search every nonempty subset of up to eight candidate features for a sparse predictive relationship whose validation residual bias and error remain within governed limits across represented environments, select without touching the test split, and compare the chosen model once against the full model on future-held-out environment data.
Rank management actions
Rank reversible, evidence-backed management actions and separate blocked work.
Reconcile plan actual variance drivers
Reconcile plan-to-actual value variance with an exact, order-independent Shapley decomposition of a declared multilinear operating model.
Stress test investment memo assumptions
Stress an investment memo's local value model by shrinking weak claims toward declared adverse values, pricing pairwise nonlinear interactions, and finding the first failure fraction along a joint adverse path.
Stress test operating plan assumptions
Stress every operating-plan assumption individually and along a common adverse path, exposing remaining outcome headroom and the linear breakpoint at which the plan fails.
Value of information
Calculate how much it is worth paying for more information before making an engineering decision.