Optimize delivery to cash intervention policy
Choose at most one evidence-backed intervention for each aggregate delivery-ready, accepted or invoiced milestone segment; propagate sequential stage mass under shared scenarios and maximize expected collected-cash net value minus CVaR subject to budget, capacity, liquidity and cash-target gates, with exact or explicitly uncertified beam search.
What it's for
Allocates scarce engineering, customer-success and billing attention to the stage bottlenecks most likely to turn already-created technical value into cash without violating liquidity or downside limits.
What you give it
Inputs split into evidence read from your connected systems, calibration your team owns, and numerical controls that affect precision but never the result's meaning.
| Field | Type | Role | Required |
|---|---|---|---|
| actions | array of objects (9 fields) ≥ 1 item | Evidence | Yes |
| beam_width | integer ≥ 1, ≤ 10000 | Numerical control | Optional |
| current_unrestricted_cash | number | Your calibration | Yes |
| cvar_tail_probability | number > 0, ≤ 0.5 | Your calibration | Optional |
| exact_enumeration_limit | integer ≥ 1, ≤ 10000000 | Your calibration | Optional |
| horizon_periods | integer ≥ 1, ≤ 60 | Your calibration | Yes |
| intervention_budget | number ≥ 0 | Your calibration | Yes |
| intervention_capacity | number ≥ 0 | Your calibration | Yes |
| max_detail_rows | integer ≥ 1, ≤ 500 | Numerical control | Optional |
| maximum_cvar_shortfall | any | Your calibration | Optional |
| maximum_liquidity_breach_probability | number ≥ 0, ≤ 1 | Your calibration | Optional |
| milestone_segments | array of objects (7 fields) ≥ 1 item | Evidence | Yes |
| minimum_cash_collection | number ≥ 0 | Your calibration | Optional |
| minimum_collection_probability | number ≥ 0, ≤ 1 | Your calibration | Optional |
| minimum_terminal_net_value | number | Your calibration | Optional |
| minimum_unrestricted_cash | number | Your calibration | Yes |
| risk_aversion | number ≥ 0 | Your calibration | Optional |
| scenarios | array of objects (9 fields) ≥ 1 item | Evidence | Yes |
Each actions
record
| Field | Type | Required |
|---|---|---|
| advance_probability_delta | number (≥ -1, ≤ 1) | Yes |
| capacity_units_per_milestone | number (≥ 0) | Yes |
| cost_per_milestone | number (≥ 0) | Yes |
| eligible_stages | array of string (≥ 1 item) | Yes |
| evidence_verified | boolean | Yes |
| exit_probability_delta | number (≥ -1, ≤ 1) | Yes |
| fixed_cost | number (≥ 0) | Yes |
| id | string (non-empty) | Yes |
| relationship_value_loss_per_milestone | number (≥ 0) | Yes |
{
"actions": [
{
"advance_probability_delta": 0.35,
"capacity_units_per_milestone": 0.1,
"cost_per_milestone": 0.05,
"eligible_stages": [
"delivery_ready",
"accepted",
"invoiced"
],
"evidence_verified": true,
"exit_probability_delta": -0.01,
"fixed_cost": 1,
"id": "expedite",
"relationship_value_loss_per_milestone": 0
}
],
"current_unrestricted_cash": 100,
"horizon_periods": 4,
"intervention_budget": 100,
"intervention_capacity": 100,
"milestone_segments": [
{
"base_advance_probability": 0.25,
"base_exit_probability": 0.03,
"cash_value": 120,
"evidence_verified": true,
"id": "segment-delivery_ready",
"milestone_count": 10,
"stage": "delivery_ready"
},
{
"base_advance_probability": 0.25,
"base_exit_probability": 0.03,
"cash_value": 100,
"evidence_verified": true,
"id": "segment-accepted",
"milestone_count": 10,
"stage": "accepted"
},
{
"base_advance_probability": 0.25,
"base_exit_probability": 0.03, Truncated for display — the full payload is 87 lines.
What you get back
This is the actual output of running the example above — computed by the same function the platform calls, not an illustration.
{
"constraints": {
"failed": [],
"feasible_policy_found": true
},
"decision": "delivery_to_cash_intervention_policy_supported",
"guardrails": [
"Interventions operate on lawful aggregate milestone segments, not named customers or individual workers.",
"Action transition effects require randomized, quasi-experimental, or governed historical evidence.",
"Beam search is explicitly uncertified; exact enumeration alone certifies the global optimum over supplied actions.",
"The engine recommends analysis-ready policy; it does not issue invoices, alter contracts, or contact customers."
],
"method": "aggregate_delivery_to_cash_markov_multiple_choice_cvar_policy_search",
"scenario_diagnostics": [
{
"cash_collected": 210.9298,
"minimum_unrestricted_cash": 95.5,
"probability": 0.7,
"scenario_id": "base",
"terminal_net_value": 206.4298
},
{
"cash_collected": 164.4774,
"minimum_unrestricted_cash": 95.5,
"probability": 0.3,
"scenario_id": "slow",
"terminal_net_value": 159.9774
}
],
"search": {
"evaluated_policy_count": 8,
"global_optimum_certificate": true,
"policy_space_size": 8,
"solver": "exact_enumeration"
},
"selected_actions": [
{
"action_id": "expedite",
"segment_id": "segment-accepted",
"stage": "accepted"
},
{
"action_id": "expedite",
"segment_id": "segment-delivery_ready", Truncated for display — the full payload is 67 lines.
How it works
Constrained optimization — Pick the best feasible option under real limits — budget, headcount, dependencies, capacity — rather than ranking a list and hoping it fits.
- 1 Freeze lawful aggregate milestone segments, executable stage-eligible actions, prospectively supported transition deltas, full costs/capacity/relationship impact, common scenarios and executive risk gates.
- 2 Precompute each segment/action/scenario cash trajectory through delivery-ready, accepted, invoiced and paid states, applying fixed cash flow once per period and recovery only on governed invoice exit.
- 3 Search one passive-or-action choice per segment, enforce all gates before ranking expected net value minus weighted CVaR, compare against all-passive policy, and disclose whether exact enumeration certifies the optimum.
Before you trust it
Every tool in the catalog ships with the conditions under which its answer is meaningful — and the conditions under which it should abstain instead of guessing.
Assumptions & guardrails
- Objectives use commensurable locally governed value units, constraints reflect real feasibility, and uncertainty covers plausible adverse inputs.
- Segments are aggregate and stable; transition probabilities and action effects are identified for the deployment context; actions remain executable over the horizon; scenarios preserve common dependence; all costs, capacity and relationship losses are commensurable.
- The recommendation is optimal only for its stated objective, feasible set, evidence, and solver guarantee; it is not a universal management optimum.
- This is governed aggregate planning, not automated customer pressure, worker evaluation, invoice issuance, contract alteration or revenue recognition. Unverified actions are infeasible and beam search has no global certificate.
Minimum evidence
- milestone_segments: at least 1 rows/items
- actions: at least 1 rows/items
- scenarios: at least 1 rows/items
- current_unrestricted_cash: required and organization-defined
- minimum_unrestricted_cash: required and organization-defined
- horizon_periods: required and organization-defined
- intervention_budget: required and organization-defined
- intervention_capacity: required and organization-defined
How to validate it
Backtest the chosen action against simple feasible baselines on held-out scenarios, sweep costs/constraints/risk tolerance, and require constraint feasibility under adverse inputs.
Calibrating it to your org
Same for everyone
The mathematical kernel, validation rules, method version, and JSON output semantics are organization-independent; no tenant-trained coefficients or company benchmark is embedded in the function.
Specific to you
- governed aggregate milestone snapshot joined to locally calibrated sequential-stage transitions, a prospective intervention-effect registry and finance/treasury common scenarios, excluding named-customer and individual-worker decision data
- segmentation lawfulness, base-model calibration, causal action-effect validity and durability, executability, cost/capacity/relationship-loss perimeter, scenario dependence, recovery, cash/liquidity and collection targets, CVaR appetite, solver boundary and human activation authority
Calibration workflow
- 1 Define the management decision, target outcome, aggregate unit, privacy boundary, cadence, and prediction/intervention horizon for this organization.
- 2 Build a tenant-scoped historical cohort using only information available before each prediction or decision; preserve zero periods, censoring, assignment probabilities, and unresolved outcomes when the method requires them.
- 3 Estimate statistical parameters on training history, but obtain costs, utilities, risk tolerance, practical-effect thresholds, capacity, and policy constraints from accountable decision owners.
- 4 Validate on later time windows or held-out aggregate units at the deployment grain, against a simple baseline and the function-specific validation strategy.
- 5 Deploy only if the returned decision clears evidence, overlap, calibration, robustness, and guardrail checks; warning, unsupported, schema-gap, and fallback decisions are abstentions.
- 6 Monitor realized outcomes, data drift, coverage, and decision regret; recalibrate at a governed cadence or after a detected regime/definition change, never merely because a stakeholder dislikes the result.
Call it from your AI
You don't wire up 388 tools in your MCP client. The GitRevio MCP server exposes 18 tools, three of which let an agent search the catalog, read a tool's schema, and run it — so the assistant finds this one on its own.
gitrevio_capabilities_search
{ "q": "choose at most one evidencebacked intervention" }
→ finds "optimize_delivery_to_cash_intervention_policy"
gitrevio_capability_describe
{ "capability_id": "optimize_delivery_to_cash_intervention_policy" }
→ returns the input schema and agent guidance shown on this page
gitrevio_capability_run
{ "capability_id": "optimize_delivery_to_cash_intervention_policy", "arguments": { ... } }
→ returns the result shown above Works in Claude Desktop, Claude Code, Cursor, Cline, Continue.dev, Goose and Aider. See the MCP server.
Related tools
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Forecast how delivery-ready, accepted and invoiced value converts to collected cash and minimum liquidity from complete right-censored stage episodes, empirical-Bayes cohort/age hazards and coherent shared scenarios, while refusing unsupported stages or unverified evidence.
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Audit cost allocation consistency
Audit whether shared engineering, platform, cloud, vendor, or operating cost pools reconcile to source totals and follow their declared pro-rata allocation bases at every target.
Audit cost capitalization sensitivity
Audit whether permitted software-cost capitalization choices change reported project ROI and priority even though scenario cash NPV, downside, and economic rank are unchanged.