Optimize delivery to cash intervention policy

Choose at most one evidence-backed intervention for each aggregate delivery-ready, accepted or invoiced milestone segment; propagate sequential stage mass under shared scenarios and maximize expected collected-cash net value minus CVaR subject to budget, capacity, liquidity and cash-target gates, with exact or explicitly uncertified beam search.

What it's for

Allocates scarce engineering, customer-success and billing attention to the stage bottlenecks most likely to turn already-created technical value into cash without violating liquidity or downside limits.

What you give it

Inputs split into evidence read from your connected systems, calibration your team owns, and numerical controls that affect precision but never the result's meaning.

Field Type Role Required
actions array of objects (9 fields) ≥ 1 item Evidence Yes
beam_width integer ≥ 1, ≤ 10000 Numerical control Optional
current_unrestricted_cash number Your calibration Yes
cvar_tail_probability number > 0, ≤ 0.5 Your calibration Optional
exact_enumeration_limit integer ≥ 1, ≤ 10000000 Your calibration Optional
horizon_periods integer ≥ 1, ≤ 60 Your calibration Yes
intervention_budget number ≥ 0 Your calibration Yes
intervention_capacity number ≥ 0 Your calibration Yes
max_detail_rows integer ≥ 1, ≤ 500 Numerical control Optional
maximum_cvar_shortfall any Your calibration Optional
maximum_liquidity_breach_probability number ≥ 0, ≤ 1 Your calibration Optional
milestone_segments array of objects (7 fields) ≥ 1 item Evidence Yes
minimum_cash_collection number ≥ 0 Your calibration Optional
minimum_collection_probability number ≥ 0, ≤ 1 Your calibration Optional
minimum_terminal_net_value number Your calibration Optional
minimum_unrestricted_cash number Your calibration Yes
risk_aversion number ≥ 0 Your calibration Optional
scenarios array of objects (9 fields) ≥ 1 item Evidence Yes

Each actions record

Field Type Required
advance_probability_delta number (≥ -1, ≤ 1) Yes
capacity_units_per_milestone number (≥ 0) Yes
cost_per_milestone number (≥ 0) Yes
eligible_stages array of string (≥ 1 item) Yes
evidence_verified boolean Yes
exit_probability_delta number (≥ -1, ≤ 1) Yes
fixed_cost number (≥ 0) Yes
id string (non-empty) Yes
relationship_value_loss_per_milestone number (≥ 0) Yes
Example input
{
  "actions": [
    {
      "advance_probability_delta": 0.35,
      "capacity_units_per_milestone": 0.1,
      "cost_per_milestone": 0.05,
      "eligible_stages": [
        "delivery_ready",
        "accepted",
        "invoiced"
      ],
      "evidence_verified": true,
      "exit_probability_delta": -0.01,
      "fixed_cost": 1,
      "id": "expedite",
      "relationship_value_loss_per_milestone": 0
    }
  ],
  "current_unrestricted_cash": 100,
  "horizon_periods": 4,
  "intervention_budget": 100,
  "intervention_capacity": 100,
  "milestone_segments": [
    {
      "base_advance_probability": 0.25,
      "base_exit_probability": 0.03,
      "cash_value": 120,
      "evidence_verified": true,
      "id": "segment-delivery_ready",
      "milestone_count": 10,
      "stage": "delivery_ready"
    },
    {
      "base_advance_probability": 0.25,
      "base_exit_probability": 0.03,
      "cash_value": 100,
      "evidence_verified": true,
      "id": "segment-accepted",
      "milestone_count": 10,
      "stage": "accepted"
    },
    {
      "base_advance_probability": 0.25,
      "base_exit_probability": 0.03,

Truncated for display — the full payload is 87 lines.

What you get back

This is the actual output of running the example above — computed by the same function the platform calls, not an illustration.

Example output
{
  "constraints": {
    "failed": [],
    "feasible_policy_found": true
  },
  "decision": "delivery_to_cash_intervention_policy_supported",
  "guardrails": [
    "Interventions operate on lawful aggregate milestone segments, not named customers or individual workers.",
    "Action transition effects require randomized, quasi-experimental, or governed historical evidence.",
    "Beam search is explicitly uncertified; exact enumeration alone certifies the global optimum over supplied actions.",
    "The engine recommends analysis-ready policy; it does not issue invoices, alter contracts, or contact customers."
  ],
  "method": "aggregate_delivery_to_cash_markov_multiple_choice_cvar_policy_search",
  "scenario_diagnostics": [
    {
      "cash_collected": 210.9298,
      "minimum_unrestricted_cash": 95.5,
      "probability": 0.7,
      "scenario_id": "base",
      "terminal_net_value": 206.4298
    },
    {
      "cash_collected": 164.4774,
      "minimum_unrestricted_cash": 95.5,
      "probability": 0.3,
      "scenario_id": "slow",
      "terminal_net_value": 159.9774
    }
  ],
  "search": {
    "evaluated_policy_count": 8,
    "global_optimum_certificate": true,
    "policy_space_size": 8,
    "solver": "exact_enumeration"
  },
  "selected_actions": [
    {
      "action_id": "expedite",
      "segment_id": "segment-accepted",
      "stage": "accepted"
    },
    {
      "action_id": "expedite",
      "segment_id": "segment-delivery_ready",

Truncated for display — the full payload is 67 lines.

How it works

Constrained optimization — Pick the best feasible option under real limits — budget, headcount, dependencies, capacity — rather than ranking a list and hoping it fits.

  1. 1 Freeze lawful aggregate milestone segments, executable stage-eligible actions, prospectively supported transition deltas, full costs/capacity/relationship impact, common scenarios and executive risk gates.
  2. 2 Precompute each segment/action/scenario cash trajectory through delivery-ready, accepted, invoiced and paid states, applying fixed cash flow once per period and recovery only on governed invoice exit.
  3. 3 Search one passive-or-action choice per segment, enforce all gates before ranking expected net value minus weighted CVaR, compare against all-passive policy, and disclose whether exact enumeration certifies the optimum.

Before you trust it

Every tool in the catalog ships with the conditions under which its answer is meaningful — and the conditions under which it should abstain instead of guessing.

Assumptions & guardrails

  • Objectives use commensurable locally governed value units, constraints reflect real feasibility, and uncertainty covers plausible adverse inputs.
  • Segments are aggregate and stable; transition probabilities and action effects are identified for the deployment context; actions remain executable over the horizon; scenarios preserve common dependence; all costs, capacity and relationship losses are commensurable.
  • The recommendation is optimal only for its stated objective, feasible set, evidence, and solver guarantee; it is not a universal management optimum.
  • This is governed aggregate planning, not automated customer pressure, worker evaluation, invoice issuance, contract alteration or revenue recognition. Unverified actions are infeasible and beam search has no global certificate.

Minimum evidence

  • milestone_segments: at least 1 rows/items
  • actions: at least 1 rows/items
  • scenarios: at least 1 rows/items
  • current_unrestricted_cash: required and organization-defined
  • minimum_unrestricted_cash: required and organization-defined
  • horizon_periods: required and organization-defined
  • intervention_budget: required and organization-defined
  • intervention_capacity: required and organization-defined

How to validate it

Backtest the chosen action against simple feasible baselines on held-out scenarios, sweep costs/constraints/risk tolerance, and require constraint feasibility under adverse inputs.

Calibrating it to your org

Same for everyone

The mathematical kernel, validation rules, method version, and JSON output semantics are organization-independent; no tenant-trained coefficients or company benchmark is embedded in the function.

Specific to you

  • governed aggregate milestone snapshot joined to locally calibrated sequential-stage transitions, a prospective intervention-effect registry and finance/treasury common scenarios, excluding named-customer and individual-worker decision data
  • segmentation lawfulness, base-model calibration, causal action-effect validity and durability, executability, cost/capacity/relationship-loss perimeter, scenario dependence, recovery, cash/liquidity and collection targets, CVaR appetite, solver boundary and human activation authority

Calibration workflow

  1. 1 Define the management decision, target outcome, aggregate unit, privacy boundary, cadence, and prediction/intervention horizon for this organization.
  2. 2 Build a tenant-scoped historical cohort using only information available before each prediction or decision; preserve zero periods, censoring, assignment probabilities, and unresolved outcomes when the method requires them.
  3. 3 Estimate statistical parameters on training history, but obtain costs, utilities, risk tolerance, practical-effect thresholds, capacity, and policy constraints from accountable decision owners.
  4. 4 Validate on later time windows or held-out aggregate units at the deployment grain, against a simple baseline and the function-specific validation strategy.
  5. 5 Deploy only if the returned decision clears evidence, overlap, calibration, robustness, and guardrail checks; warning, unsupported, schema-gap, and fallback decisions are abstentions.
  6. 6 Monitor realized outcomes, data drift, coverage, and decision regret; recalibrate at a governed cadence or after a detected regime/definition change, never merely because a stakeholder dislikes the result.

Call it from your AI

You don't wire up 388 tools in your MCP client. The GitRevio MCP server exposes 18 tools, three of which let an agent search the catalog, read a tool's schema, and run it — so the assistant finds this one on its own.

gitrevio_capabilities_search
  { "q": "choose at most one evidencebacked intervention" }
  → finds "optimize_delivery_to_cash_intervention_policy"

gitrevio_capability_describe
  { "capability_id": "optimize_delivery_to_cash_intervention_policy" }
  → returns the input schema and agent guidance shown on this page

gitrevio_capability_run
  { "capability_id": "optimize_delivery_to_cash_intervention_policy", "arguments": { ... } }
  → returns the result shown above

Works in Claude Desktop, Claude Code, Cursor, Cline, Continue.dev, Goose and Aider. See the MCP server.

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