Vendors, sourcing & build-vs-buy

Lifecycle NPV across build, buy and partner — and whether an exit from a vendor is executable.

6 of 388 tools.

Delivery forecasting & commitments 35 Capacity, staffing & flow 18 People, retention & knowledge 23 Org design, incentives & decisions 18 Risk, tails & resilience 42 Quality, incidents & reliability 17 AI cost, routing & return 24 AI risk, rights & assurance 24 Causal evidence & experiments 29 Measurement integrity 28 Analytics assurance & orchestration 24 Finance & unit economics 39 Investment & portfolio choice 36 Customer, revenue & pricing 12 Security, access & compliance 13 Vendors, sourcing & build-vs-buy 6

Audit vendor lock in exposure

Audit whether every vendor-dependent business capability has a complete, scenario-executable exit portfolio; solve minimum-loss set cover exactly inside a governed state boundary, disclose heuristic fallback, and report infeasible-exit probability, expected loss, CVaR, lead time, and value concentration without converting vendor exposure into misconduct evidence.

Constrained optimization

Calculate build buy partner npv

Compare build, buy, and partner lifecycle NPV under coherent joint scenarios, explicit strategic option and switching value, downside CVaR, and governed value gates.

Decision analysis

Estimate platform network option value

Value when to activate a shared platform under endogenous network adoption with an exact finite-horizon Markov dynamic program; optimize the invest/wait policy by observed adopter state, compare it with every fixed launch date and never investing, and reconcile option value, investment timing, and adoption quantiles.

Markov & state-space control

Forecast vendor spend at risk

Forecast correlated vendor spend with lognormal marginals, a Gaussian copula, contractual floors and caps, budget-overrun uncertainty, total-spend CVaR, and reconciled vendor tail contributions.

Forecasting & survival

Optimize vendor contract terms

Optimize vendor contract terms across coherent usage, service-credit, exit, and fallback-price scenarios using exact option evaluation, CVaR, Pareto screening, and total-variation probability robustness.

Constrained optimization

Value architecture migration option

Value an irreversible architecture migration as a finite-horizon, signal-contingent optimal-stopping policy that cannot see future information; compare its expected and tail cost with never migrating, every fixed migration date, and a perfect-information ceiling, then expose the option value of waiting for real evidence.

Constrained optimization

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