Estimate team stochastic frontier
Estimate a Cobb-Douglas team production frontier with half-normal inefficiency, symmetric noise, conditional efficiency, and bootstrap uncertainty.
What it's for
Adds role-appropriate team efficiency visibility that separates random shocks from modeled production gaps instead of ranking raw output totals.
What you give it
Inputs split into evidence read from your connected systems, calibration your team owns, and numerical controls that affect precision but never the result's meaning.
| Field | Type | Role | Required |
|---|---|---|---|
| bootstrap_draws | integer ≥ 200, ≤ 20000 | Numerical control | Optional |
| confidence_level | number ≥ 0.8, ≤ 0.999 | Your calibration | Optional |
| input_names | array of string ≥ 1 item | Evidence | Yes |
| minimum_unit_size | integer ≥ 2 | Your calibration | Optional |
| ridge | number ≥ 0, ≤ 100 | Your calibration | Optional |
| seed | integer | Numerical control | Optional |
| units | array of objects (4 fields) | Evidence | Yes |
Each units
record
| Field | Type | Required |
|---|---|---|
| id | string (non-empty) | Yes |
| inputs | object | Yes |
| output | number (> 0) | Yes |
| unit_size | integer (≥ 2) | Yes |
{
"bootstrap_draws": 200,
"input_names": [
"capacity"
],
"seed": 2,
"units": [
{
"id": "team-0",
"inputs": {
"capacity": 10
},
"output": 15.035617008818166,
"unit_size": 8
},
{
"id": "team-1",
"inputs": {
"capacity": 11
},
"output": 14.78713240777615,
"unit_size": 8
},
{
"id": "team-2",
"inputs": {
"capacity": 12
},
"output": 14.349190886140974,
"unit_size": 8
},
{
"id": "team-3",
"inputs": {
"capacity": 13
},
"output": 13.730779521040883,
"unit_size": 8
},
{
"id": "team-4",
"inputs": {
"capacity": 14
}, Truncated for display — the full payload is 329 lines.
What you get back
This is the actual output of running the example above — computed by the same function the platform calls, not an illustration.
{
"assumptions": [
"The production function is Cobb-Douglas in the supplied positive inputs and output, with comparable team-level measurement.",
"Random noise is symmetric normal while nonnegative technical inefficiency follows a half-normal distribution independent of inputs.",
"Unit scores describe modeled team production efficiency, not individual performance, effort, intent, or a staffing decision.",
"Frontier gaps require local investigation of omitted inputs, quality, work mix, and measurement before any management action."
],
"bootstrap": {
"confidence_level": 0.95,
"draws": 200
},
"composed_error": {
"centered_residual_third_moment": -0.000101,
"inefficiency_sigma": 0.0774,
"inefficiency_sigma_interval": {
"high": 0.1293,
"low": 0
},
"lambda_inefficiency_to_noise": 0.8537,
"noise_sigma": 0.0907
},
"decision": "inefficiency_not_separable_from_noise",
"frontier": {
"input_elasticities": {
"capacity": 0.6599
},
"intercept": 1.1337,
"returns_to_scale": 0.6599
},
"method": "cobb_douglas_half_normal_stochastic_frontier_v1",
"portfolio": {
"mean_technical_efficiency": 0.941,
"median_technical_efficiency": 0.9449
},
"units": [
{
"efficiency_interval": {
"high": 1,
"low": 0.954
},
"frontier_gap_fraction": 0.0355,
"technical_efficiency": 0.9645,
"unit_id": "team-28"
}, Truncated for display — the full payload is 397 lines.
How it works
Statistical audit & measurement — Check whether a number is fit to decide on: coverage, timing, reconciliation, and the gaps a dashboard hides.
- 1 Estimate a Cobb-Douglas team production frontier with half-normal inefficiency, symmetric noise, conditional efficiency, and bootstrap uncertainty.
- 2 Evaluate the method-specific diagnostics and gates returned by the function, then abstain unless the declared decision clears them under locally governed thresholds.
Before you trust it
Every tool in the catalog ships with the conditions under which its answer is meaningful — and the conditions under which it should abstain instead of guessing.
Assumptions & guardrails
- Metric definitions, weights, aggregate grain, sampling, missingness, dependence, and comparison windows correspond to the management claim being audited.
- Association, instability, or measurement quality is not a causal effect and must not be converted directly into an individual employment decision.
Minimum evidence
- units: required and organization-defined
- input_names: at least 1 rows/items
How to validate it
Validate on future periods or held-out aggregate units, compare with a simple baseline, and require stability across plausible metric definitions and decision thresholds.
Calibrating it to your org
Same for everyone
The mathematical kernel, validation rules, method version, and JSON output semantics are organization-independent; no tenant-trained coefficients or company benchmark is embedded in the function.
Specific to you
- metric/outcome definitions, entity grain, observation window, costs, thresholds, priors, and constraints represented by the function inputs
Calibration workflow
- 1 Define the management decision, target outcome, aggregate unit, privacy boundary, cadence, and prediction/intervention horizon for this organization.
- 2 Build a tenant-scoped historical cohort using only information available before each prediction or decision; preserve zero periods, censoring, assignment probabilities, and unresolved outcomes when the method requires them.
- 3 Estimate statistical parameters on training history, but obtain costs, utilities, risk tolerance, practical-effect thresholds, capacity, and policy constraints from accountable decision owners.
- 4 Validate on later time windows or held-out aggregate units at the deployment grain, against a simple baseline and the function-specific validation strategy.
- 5 Deploy only if the returned decision clears evidence, overlap, calibration, robustness, and guardrail checks; warning, unsupported, schema-gap, and fallback decisions are abstentions.
- 6 Monitor realized outcomes, data drift, coverage, and decision regret; recalibrate at a governed cadence or after a detected regime/definition change, never merely because a stakeholder dislikes the result.
Call it from your AI
You don't wire up 388 tools in your MCP client. The GitRevio MCP server exposes 18 tools, three of which let an agent search the catalog, read a tool's schema, and run it — so the assistant finds this one on its own.
gitrevio_capabilities_search
{ "q": "estimate a cobbdouglas team production frontier" }
→ finds "estimate_team_stochastic_frontier"
gitrevio_capability_describe
{ "capability_id": "estimate_team_stochastic_frontier" }
→ returns the input schema and agent guidance shown on this page
gitrevio_capability_run
{ "capability_id": "estimate_team_stochastic_frontier", "arguments": { ... } }
→ returns the result shown above Works in Claude Desktop, Claude Code, Cursor, Cline, Continue.dev, Goose and Aider. See the MCP server.
Related tools
Allocate attention budget
Use exact knapsack optimization to allocate limited expert-review time by expected avoided loss.
Allocate capacity by marginal value
Allocate indivisible aggregate capacity across initiative-specific diminishing marginal-value scenario curves, activation thresholds, hard minimum commitments, unit cost, and portfolio CVaR with discrete next-unit value and explicit solver certainty.
Allocate capacity nash bargaining
Allocate discrete shared capacity by weighted Nash social welfare over concave team utility curves, with disagreement guarantees and a utilitarian counterfactual.
Calculate engineering runway
Compare three-point roadmap effort with three-point team capacity and expose unfunded commitments.
Calculate hidden work tax
Translate unplanned work, rework, incidents, and coordination into capacity and cost leakage.
Calculate shadow price of capacity
Calculate lumpy, discrete capacity shadow prices by re-optimizing a scenario-valued initiative portfolio after a governed increment to each resource, with CVaR penalty and explicit exact or heuristic solver status.