Estimate coordination network percolation

Estimate organizational network tipping points under random versus targeted aggregate-unit loss, with weighted connected-component curves, Monte Carlo intervals, and structural-hub diagnostics.

What it's for

Shows where project, repository, service, or team structure becomes brittle before a reorganization, outage, or key-unit loss exposes it in production.

What you give it

Inputs split into evidence read from your connected systems, calibration your team owns, and numerical controls that affect precision but never the result's meaning.

Field Type Role Required
confidence_level number ≥ 0.5, ≤ 0.99 Your calibration Optional
critical_component_share number ≥ 0.1, ≤ 0.9 Your calibration Optional
edges array of objects (4 fields) ≥ 1 item Evidence Yes
max_detail_rows integer ≥ 1, ≤ 500 Numerical control Optional
nodes array of objects (2 fields) ≥ 10 items Evidence Yes
random_draws integer ≥ 100, ≤ 10000 Numerical control Optional
removal_fractions array of number ≥ 3 items Evidence Optional
seed integer Numerical control Optional

Each edges record

Field Type Required
id string (non-empty) Yes
node_a string (non-empty) Yes
node_b string (non-empty) Yes
strength number (> 0) Yes
Example input
{
  "edges": [
    {
      "id": "delivery-edge-1",
      "node_a": "delivery-node-0",
      "node_b": "delivery-node-1",
      "strength": 1
    },
    {
      "id": "delivery-edge-2",
      "node_a": "delivery-node-0",
      "node_b": "delivery-node-2",
      "strength": 1
    },
    {
      "id": "delivery-edge-3",
      "node_a": "delivery-node-0",
      "node_b": "delivery-node-3",
      "strength": 1
    },
    {
      "id": "delivery-edge-4",
      "node_a": "delivery-node-0",
      "node_b": "delivery-node-4",
      "strength": 1
    },
    {
      "id": "delivery-edge-5",
      "node_a": "delivery-node-0",
      "node_b": "delivery-node-5",
      "strength": 1
    },
    {
      "id": "delivery-edge-6",
      "node_a": "delivery-node-0",
      "node_b": "delivery-node-6",
      "strength": 1
    },
    {
      "id": "delivery-edge-7",
      "node_a": "delivery-node-0",
      "node_b": "delivery-node-7",
      "strength": 1
    },

Truncated for display — the full payload is 110 lines.

What you get back

This is the actual output of running the example above — computed by the same function the platform calls, not an illustration.

Example output
{
  "assumptions": [
    "Nodes are privacy-eligible teams, services, repositories, projects, or companies rather than people, and an observed edge represents a coordination path relevant to the decision epoch.",
    "Targeted removal follows static weighted degree; it is a stress test of structural concentration, not a prediction that any named unit will disappear.",
    "Connectivity treats every supplied positive-strength edge as traversable while strength ranks targeted removals; thresholded or directed dependencies require a governed alternative graph.",
    "Random-removal uncertainty is Monte Carlo uncertainty conditional on this observed graph and excludes missing-edge, identity-resolution, and future-rewiring uncertainty."
  ],
  "critical_nodes": [
    {
      "neighbors": 9,
      "node_id": "delivery-node-0",
      "weight": 1,
      "weighted_degree": 9
    },
    {
      "neighbors": 1,
      "node_id": "delivery-node-1",
      "weight": 1,
      "weighted_degree": 1
    },
    {
      "neighbors": 1,
      "node_id": "delivery-node-2",
      "weight": 1,
      "weighted_degree": 1
    },
    {
      "neighbors": 1,
      "node_id": "delivery-node-3",
      "weight": 1,
      "weighted_degree": 1
    },
    {
      "neighbors": 1,
      "node_id": "delivery-node-4",
      "weight": 1,
      "weighted_degree": 1
    },
    {
      "neighbors": 1,
      "node_id": "delivery-node-5",
      "weight": 1,
      "weighted_degree": 1
    },

Truncated for display — the full payload is 150 lines.

How it works

Network & dependency analysis — Trace how load, failure and knowledge propagate through a graph of teams, services or components.

  1. 1 Estimate organizational network tipping points under random versus targeted aggregate-unit loss, with weighted connected-component curves, Monte Carlo intervals, and structural-hub diagnostics.
  2. 2 Evaluate the method-specific diagnostics and gates returned by the function, then abstain unless the declared decision clears them under locally governed thresholds.

Before you trust it

Every tool in the catalog ships with the conditions under which its answer is meaningful — and the conditions under which it should abstain instead of guessing.

Assumptions & guardrails

  • Nodes, edges, direction, time window, missing-link policy, and aggregation boundary represent the coordination or dependency mechanism of interest.
  • Structural centrality, fragility, or clustering describes a modeled graph and must not be interpreted as intent, guilt, or personal value.

Minimum evidence

  • nodes: at least 10 rows/items
  • edges: at least 1 rows/items

How to validate it

Validate on held-out periods or aggregate units, perturb edge definitions and missing links, and report sensitivity to graph construction before using structural rankings.

Calibrating it to your org

Same for everyone

The mathematical kernel, validation rules, method version, and JSON output semantics are organization-independent; no tenant-trained coefficients or company benchmark is embedded in the function.

Specific to you

  • typed project and repository node identifiers
  • node weights from governed business criticality or activity volume
  • optional team/service dependency edges
  • graph epoch and node semantics
  • critical component share
  • edge inclusion and weighting policy

Calibration workflow

  1. 1 Define the management decision, target outcome, aggregate unit, privacy boundary, cadence, and prediction/intervention horizon for this organization.
  2. 2 Build a tenant-scoped historical cohort using only information available before each prediction or decision; preserve zero periods, censoring, assignment probabilities, and unresolved outcomes when the method requires them.
  3. 3 Estimate statistical parameters on training history, but obtain costs, utilities, risk tolerance, practical-effect thresholds, capacity, and policy constraints from accountable decision owners.
  4. 4 Validate on later time windows or held-out aggregate units at the deployment grain, against a simple baseline and the function-specific validation strategy.
  5. 5 Deploy only if the returned decision clears evidence, overlap, calibration, robustness, and guardrail checks; warning, unsupported, schema-gap, and fallback decisions are abstentions.
  6. 6 Monitor realized outcomes, data drift, coverage, and decision regret; recalibrate at a governed cadence or after a detected regime/definition change, never merely because a stakeholder dislikes the result.

Call it from your AI

You don't wire up 388 tools in your MCP client. The GitRevio MCP server exposes 18 tools, three of which let an agent search the catalog, read a tool's schema, and run it — so the assistant finds this one on its own.

gitrevio_capabilities_search
  { "q": "estimate organizational network tipping points under" }
  → finds "estimate_coordination_network_percolation"

gitrevio_capability_describe
  { "capability_id": "estimate_coordination_network_percolation" }
  → returns the input schema and agent guidance shown on this page

gitrevio_capability_run
  { "capability_id": "estimate_coordination_network_percolation", "arguments": { ... } }
  → returns the result shown above

Works in Claude Desktop, Claude Code, Cursor, Cline, Continue.dev, Goose and Aider. See the MCP server.

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