Estimate coordination network percolation
Estimate organizational network tipping points under random versus targeted aggregate-unit loss, with weighted connected-component curves, Monte Carlo intervals, and structural-hub diagnostics.
What it's for
Shows where project, repository, service, or team structure becomes brittle before a reorganization, outage, or key-unit loss exposes it in production.
What you give it
Inputs split into evidence read from your connected systems, calibration your team owns, and numerical controls that affect precision but never the result's meaning.
| Field | Type | Role | Required |
|---|---|---|---|
| confidence_level | number ≥ 0.5, ≤ 0.99 | Your calibration | Optional |
| critical_component_share | number ≥ 0.1, ≤ 0.9 | Your calibration | Optional |
| edges | array of objects (4 fields) ≥ 1 item | Evidence | Yes |
| max_detail_rows | integer ≥ 1, ≤ 500 | Numerical control | Optional |
| nodes | array of objects (2 fields) ≥ 10 items | Evidence | Yes |
| random_draws | integer ≥ 100, ≤ 10000 | Numerical control | Optional |
| removal_fractions | array of number ≥ 3 items | Evidence | Optional |
| seed | integer | Numerical control | Optional |
Each edges
record
| Field | Type | Required |
|---|---|---|
| id | string (non-empty) | Yes |
| node_a | string (non-empty) | Yes |
| node_b | string (non-empty) | Yes |
| strength | number (> 0) | Yes |
{
"edges": [
{
"id": "delivery-edge-1",
"node_a": "delivery-node-0",
"node_b": "delivery-node-1",
"strength": 1
},
{
"id": "delivery-edge-2",
"node_a": "delivery-node-0",
"node_b": "delivery-node-2",
"strength": 1
},
{
"id": "delivery-edge-3",
"node_a": "delivery-node-0",
"node_b": "delivery-node-3",
"strength": 1
},
{
"id": "delivery-edge-4",
"node_a": "delivery-node-0",
"node_b": "delivery-node-4",
"strength": 1
},
{
"id": "delivery-edge-5",
"node_a": "delivery-node-0",
"node_b": "delivery-node-5",
"strength": 1
},
{
"id": "delivery-edge-6",
"node_a": "delivery-node-0",
"node_b": "delivery-node-6",
"strength": 1
},
{
"id": "delivery-edge-7",
"node_a": "delivery-node-0",
"node_b": "delivery-node-7",
"strength": 1
}, Truncated for display — the full payload is 110 lines.
What you get back
This is the actual output of running the example above — computed by the same function the platform calls, not an illustration.
{
"assumptions": [
"Nodes are privacy-eligible teams, services, repositories, projects, or companies rather than people, and an observed edge represents a coordination path relevant to the decision epoch.",
"Targeted removal follows static weighted degree; it is a stress test of structural concentration, not a prediction that any named unit will disappear.",
"Connectivity treats every supplied positive-strength edge as traversable while strength ranks targeted removals; thresholded or directed dependencies require a governed alternative graph.",
"Random-removal uncertainty is Monte Carlo uncertainty conditional on this observed graph and excludes missing-edge, identity-resolution, and future-rewiring uncertainty."
],
"critical_nodes": [
{
"neighbors": 9,
"node_id": "delivery-node-0",
"weight": 1,
"weighted_degree": 9
},
{
"neighbors": 1,
"node_id": "delivery-node-1",
"weight": 1,
"weighted_degree": 1
},
{
"neighbors": 1,
"node_id": "delivery-node-2",
"weight": 1,
"weighted_degree": 1
},
{
"neighbors": 1,
"node_id": "delivery-node-3",
"weight": 1,
"weighted_degree": 1
},
{
"neighbors": 1,
"node_id": "delivery-node-4",
"weight": 1,
"weighted_degree": 1
},
{
"neighbors": 1,
"node_id": "delivery-node-5",
"weight": 1,
"weighted_degree": 1
}, Truncated for display — the full payload is 150 lines.
How it works
Network & dependency analysis — Trace how load, failure and knowledge propagate through a graph of teams, services or components.
- 1 Estimate organizational network tipping points under random versus targeted aggregate-unit loss, with weighted connected-component curves, Monte Carlo intervals, and structural-hub diagnostics.
- 2 Evaluate the method-specific diagnostics and gates returned by the function, then abstain unless the declared decision clears them under locally governed thresholds.
Before you trust it
Every tool in the catalog ships with the conditions under which its answer is meaningful — and the conditions under which it should abstain instead of guessing.
Assumptions & guardrails
- Nodes, edges, direction, time window, missing-link policy, and aggregation boundary represent the coordination or dependency mechanism of interest.
- Structural centrality, fragility, or clustering describes a modeled graph and must not be interpreted as intent, guilt, or personal value.
Minimum evidence
- nodes: at least 10 rows/items
- edges: at least 1 rows/items
How to validate it
Validate on held-out periods or aggregate units, perturb edge definitions and missing links, and report sensitivity to graph construction before using structural rankings.
Calibrating it to your org
Same for everyone
The mathematical kernel, validation rules, method version, and JSON output semantics are organization-independent; no tenant-trained coefficients or company benchmark is embedded in the function.
Specific to you
- typed project and repository node identifiers
- node weights from governed business criticality or activity volume
- optional team/service dependency edges
- graph epoch and node semantics
- critical component share
- edge inclusion and weighting policy
Calibration workflow
- 1 Define the management decision, target outcome, aggregate unit, privacy boundary, cadence, and prediction/intervention horizon for this organization.
- 2 Build a tenant-scoped historical cohort using only information available before each prediction or decision; preserve zero periods, censoring, assignment probabilities, and unresolved outcomes when the method requires them.
- 3 Estimate statistical parameters on training history, but obtain costs, utilities, risk tolerance, practical-effect thresholds, capacity, and policy constraints from accountable decision owners.
- 4 Validate on later time windows or held-out aggregate units at the deployment grain, against a simple baseline and the function-specific validation strategy.
- 5 Deploy only if the returned decision clears evidence, overlap, calibration, robustness, and guardrail checks; warning, unsupported, schema-gap, and fallback decisions are abstentions.
- 6 Monitor realized outcomes, data drift, coverage, and decision regret; recalibrate at a governed cadence or after a detected regime/definition change, never merely because a stakeholder dislikes the result.
Call it from your AI
You don't wire up 388 tools in your MCP client. The GitRevio MCP server exposes 18 tools, three of which let an agent search the catalog, read a tool's schema, and run it — so the assistant finds this one on its own.
gitrevio_capabilities_search
{ "q": "estimate organizational network tipping points under" }
→ finds "estimate_coordination_network_percolation"
gitrevio_capability_describe
{ "capability_id": "estimate_coordination_network_percolation" }
→ returns the input schema and agent guidance shown on this page
gitrevio_capability_run
{ "capability_id": "estimate_coordination_network_percolation", "arguments": { ... } }
→ returns the result shown above Works in Claude Desktop, Claude Code, Cursor, Cline, Continue.dev, Goose and Aider. See the MCP server.
Related tools
Analyze coordination entropy
Quantify privacy-safe cross-team seam complexity, concentration, latency, and failure load.
Analyze delayed management feedback stability
Stress the dynamic stability of a delayed signed organizational feedback model: build a VAR companion matrix from interval-valued lagged influences, evaluate midpoint, interval corners, and sampled simultaneous coefficients, calculate spectral and transient amplification margins, and rank one-edge damping leverage without claiming an exhaustive robust-control certificate.
Audit decision flow integrity
Audit management decision histories for unresolved work, state cycles, unowned dwell and excessive lead-time tails using immutable event sequences, whole-decision bootstrap uncertainty, simultaneous flow-level gates and state bottleneck diagnostics.
Audit executive technology reporting integrity
Audit a frozen executive technology pack for complete metric/risk scope, point-in-time source and definition lineage, numerical reconciliation, supported narrative direction, independent review and evidence coverage.
Audit multigroup metric measurement invariance
Audit whether a multi-indicator aggregate management metric measures a comparable one-factor construct across teams, products, repositories, periods, or companies: fit training-only pooled and group PCA loadings, test configural dominance, metric loading cosine, scalar intercept range, residual variance, and untouched-test reconstruction invariance before any group ranking is trusted.
Audit organizational change simulation integrity
Audit whether an organizational or technology what-if simulation is fit for reliance by checking point-in-time model lineage, local history, factor support, second-order dependency structure, calibration, scenario reconciliation and individual-level safeguards.